By Meredith Bennett-Smith, Huffington Post
An artist has created realistic renderings of what several high-profile U.S. cities and landmarks will look like five centuries from now, if sea levels rise as predicted.
Nickolay Lamm, an artist and researcher who graduated from the University of Pittsburgh in 2011, created images of major locations and landmarks in Boston, Miami, New York City, and Washington, D.C.
Lamm said he was inspired by a similar piece in the New York Times, which charted potential sea level rise using aerial maps. Both Lamm and The Times were working off data that predict a sea level rise of 25 feet in the next four or five centuries.
From The Times:
“The 25-foot sea level rise is based on a 2012 study in the journal Science, which augmented findings from a 2009 Nature study. They found that 125,000 years ago — a period that may have been warmer than today but cooler than what scientists expect later this century without sharp pollution cuts — the seas were about 20 to 30 feet higher than today. If temperatures climb as expected in this century, scientists believe it would take centuries for seas to rise 20 to 30 feet as a result, because ice sheet decay responds slowly to warming.”
Lamm created his final images using stock photos, which he then located using Google Earth and “flooded” using topographical maps paired with high and low tide information. Each scene took between five and 15 hours to create.
“I’m worried that climate change is one of those issues which we start taking seriously only when it’s late,” Lamm told The Huffington Post in an email. “My illustrations are as accurate as the sea level rise maps that they are based on. The illustrations depict sea level rise at low and medium tide whereas the maps depict it at high tide. Before these illustrations were made, I had no idea what sea level rise would look like in real life.”
In the past few years, there have been several reports pointing to a possible acceleration in sea level rise for cities on the East Coast.
In 2012, U.S. Geological Survey government scientists released a report claiming that “rates of sea level rise are increasing three to four times faster along portions of the U.S. Atlantic Coast than globally.”
The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers recommends planning for a global sea rise of nearly five feet, while a Pacific Institute study concluded a 1.4 meter sea level rise could put 480,000 people at risk of a 100‐year flood event along the Western coast of North America.
This article was written by Meredith Bennett-Smith and published in The Huffington Post on April 11, 2013.